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01-03-2012, 11:02 AM #1
9 Rules for Trading Divergences
1. Make sure your glasses are clean
In order for divergence to exist, price must have either formed one of the following:
Higher high than the previous high
Lower low than the previous low
Don't even bother looking at an indicator unless ONE of these four price scenarios have occurred. If not, you ain't trading a divergence, buddy. You're just imagining things. Immediately go see your optometrist and get some new glasses.
2. Draw lines on successive tops and bottoms
Okay now that you got some action (recent price action that is), look at it. Remember, you'll only see one of four things: a higher high, a flat high, a lower low, or a flat low.
Now draw a line backward from that high or low to the previous high or low. It HAS to be on successive major tops/bottom. If you see any little bumps or dips between the two major highs/lows, do what you do when your significant other shouts at you - ignore it.
3. Do Tha Right Thang - Connect TOPS and BOTTOMS only
Once you see two swing highs are established, you connect the TOPS. If two lows are made, you connect the BOTTOMS.
Don't make the mistake of trying to draw a line at the bottom when you see two higher highs. It sounds dumb but really, peeps regularly get confused.
4. Eyes on the Price
So you've connected either two tops or two bottoms with a trend line. Now look at your preferred indicator and compare it to price action. Whichever indicator you use, remember you are comparing its TOPS or BOTTOMS. Some indicators such as MACD or Stochastic have multiple lines all up on each other like teenagers with raging hormones. Don't worry about what these kids are doing.
5. Be Fly like Pip Diddy
If you draw a line connecting two highs on price, you MUST draw a line connecting the two highs on the indicator as well. Ditto for lows also. If you draw a line connecting two lows on price, you MUST draw a line connecting two lows on the indicator. They have to match!
6. Keep in Line
The highs or lows you identify on the indicator MUST be the ones that line up VERTICALLY with the price highs or lows. It's just like picking out what to wear to the club - you gotta be fly and matchin' yo!
7. Ridin' the slopes
Divergence only exists if the SLOPE of the line connecting the indicator tops/bottoms DIFFERS from the SLOPE of the line connection price tops/bottoms. The slope must either be: Ascending (rising) Descending (falling) Flat (flat)
8. If the ship has sailed, catch the next one
If you spot divergence but the price has already reversed and moved in one direction for some time, the divergence should be considered played out. You missed the boat this time. All you can do now is wait for another swing high/low to form and start your divergence search over.
9. Take a step back
Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get less false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.
We advise only look for divergences on 1-hour charts or longer. Other traders use 15-minute charts or even faster. On those time frames, there's just too much noise for our taste so we just stay away.
03-11-2012, 11:00 PM #2
Its good strategy. But that's for me if you come from a straight line. Or if the pattern is a straight line. But what if theirs a rally or a dip? what then? Is this strategy going to work? Because no matter how you cross the bottom and the top if its going down or going up its still going that way until it reverse.
04-25-2012, 11:04 AM #3
Hi, there, could you give me some suggestions about how to choose a reliable forex broker, please leave your message here, many thanks.
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